BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 65 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =  156.01

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Home    W   175.54  38   0   1B  16 (  7-  5) Stony Brook            19.53     18.47                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L   144.59  27  33   1A  90 (  5-  7) Florida Atlantic      -11.42      5.42                      
  3 09/22/2018 Away    L * 163.77  32  42   1A  20 ( 11-  2) Utah St                 7.76    -17.76                      
  4 09/29/2018 Home    L * 149.57  25  28   1A  72 (  7-  5) Nevada                 -6.44      3.44                      
  5 10/06/2018 Home    W   171.46  35   7   1A  97 (  3- 10) Navy                   15.45     12.55                      
  6 10/12/2018 Away    L * 150.43  17  21   1A  73 (  7-  5) San Diego St           -5.58      1.58                      
  7 10/19/2018 Away    W * 149.59  41  35   1A 108 (  4-  8) UNLV                   -6.42     12.42                      
  8 10/27/2018 Home    L * 156.01  38  48   1A  25 ( 10-  3) Boise St                0.00    -10.00                      
  9 11/03/2018 Away    L   159.15  14  17   1A  39 ( 10-  2) Army                    3.14     -6.14                      
 10 11/10/2018 Home    W * 157.90  42  24   1A 104 (  3-  9) New Mexico              1.89     16.11                      
 11 11/17/2018 Away    L * 147.57  27  35   1A  78 (  6-  6) Wyoming                -8.44      0.44                      
 12 11/22/2018 Home    W * 146.53  27  19   1A 109 (  3-  9) Colorado St            -9.48     17.48                      
      Averages             156.01  30.2 25.8

Best game:  175.54 = 38 point win over Stony Brook
Worst game: 144.59 = 6 point loss to Florida Atlantic
Team stdev:  10.00